Monetary Policy and Output Growth Forecasting in a SVAR Perspective

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Monetary Policy Cyclicality, Industrial Output and Economic Growth Interactions in Nigeria

T his paper examined whether monetary policy is acyclical, procyclical or countercyclical and the implications of the interaction of such cyclicality with industrial output on real economic growth in Nigeria. After determining the time series properties of the variables and based on conventional cyclicality measures, the fully modified ordinary least square method was used to examine...

متن کامل

Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with External Instrument SVAR

We explore the use of external instrument SVAR to identify monetary policy shocks. We identify a forward guidance shock as the monetary shock component having zero instant impact on the policy rate. A contractionary forward guidance shock raises both future output and price level, stressing the relative importance of revealing policymakers’ view on future output and price level over committing ...

متن کامل

Output Composition of Monetary Policy Transmission

This paper aims to investigate the role of each aggregate spending component in the monetary policy transmission in Indonesia. It assesses the relative strength of the role of each spending component in the monetary policy transmission. In so doing, this study employs the contribution analysis, which is calculated based on the cumulative impulse response of each component of GDP to a monetary p...

متن کامل

Forecasting monetary policy rules in South Africa

This paper is the first one to: (i) provide in-sample estimates of linear and nonlinear Taylor rules, augmented with an indicator of financial stability, for the case of South Africa, and (ii) analyse the ability of linear and nonlinear monetary policy rule specifications, as well as nonparametric and semiparametric models, to forecast the nominal interest rate setting that describes the South ...

متن کامل

de Conference on Forecasting and Monetary Policy

We compare the Bank of England’s Inflation Report (IR) quarterly forecasts for growth and inflation to real-time forecasts using a variety of statistical forecasting models that have previously been found useful as forecasting benchmarks. These include linear and non-linear univariate models, and VARs. The results reveal the well-known difficulty of forecasting in a stable macroeconomic environ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Economics and Finance

سال: 2016

ISSN: 1916-9728,1916-971X

DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v8n7p71